An intelligence assessment being released on December 5 by the US Director of National Intelligence (DNI) estimates that through 2025, the Taliban regime will not prevent a humanitarian catastrophe without international aid, reiterating that the Taliban use harsh tactics to maintain control of the population. The DNI serves as principal adviser to the US President on intelligence issues.
Taliban regime prioritizes reinforcement of theocratic rule over building a modern state, and the group will roll back much of the last two decades’ social and civic liberalizations, the report predicts.
According to the top US intelligence body, under the Taliban, most of Afghan population will face dire humanitarian conditions, including acute food insecurity that could reach famine proportions, driving high-level of internal displacement.
The findings declassified by the DNI also state that the Islamic State in Khurasan Province (ISKP) will pose the most challenging threat to the Taliban, regional nations and the west while al-Qaeda elements will need more time to regroup before the they will be capable of posing threats to the west and regional countries.